（下边有中文翻译请继续看到底。 谢谢。）
In the ever-evolving landscape of global geopolitics, Russia and Pakistan are poised to enter a new phase of cooperation, driven by shared interests and mutual respect. Historically marked by a complex interplay of alliances and rivalries, the two countries have now found common ground, particularly in the aftermath of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Ukraine crisis, and shifting power dynamics in regions like the South China Sea and the Middle East. This convergence of interests, coupled with the influence of their common ally, China, presents a unique opportunity for both nations to forge a robust partnership across multiple domains.
Convergence of interests and existing cooperation
The convergence of Russian and Pakistani interests is rooted in their shared desire for regional stability, economic growth, and enhanced security. Both countries have been vocal in advocating a peaceful resolution to the conflict in Afghanistan, recognizing that instability in the region could have far-reaching consequences. Pakistan, with its strategic location, has emerged as a key player in the post-Afghanistan withdrawal scenario, while Russia, with its historical ties and strategic interests in Central Asia, seeks to maintain its influence in the region.
The existing cooperation between Russia and Pakistan spans several critical areas, including defense, energy, and the economy. The two nations have conducted joint military exercises such as the Druzhba (Friendship) drills, which have strengthened their defense collaboration. Russia has also expressed interest in investing in Pakistan’s energy sector, particularly in the construction of the North-South gas pipeline, which would provide a significant boost to Pakistan’s energy infrastructure.
Impact of regional platforms: SCO, BRI, BRICS and beyond
Regional platforms such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and BRICS have become crucial for enhancing Russia–Pakistan relations. As members of the SCO, Russia and Pakistan have actively engaged in efforts to combat terrorism, promote regional security, and foster economic cooperation. The SCO provides a multilateral framework that enables both countries to collaborate with other regional powers, further cementing their strategic partnership.
The BRI, spearheaded by China, is another critical link connecting Russia and Pakistan. The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a key component of the BRI, has already deepened economic ties between Pakistan and China. Russia’s potential involvement in the BRI can extend these benefits to a broader regional context, linking Eurasia through infrastructure, trade, and energy projects that span from Moscow to Islamabad.
Moreover, the BRICS grouping, which brings together Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Ethiopia, Iran, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, offers another avenue for Russia–Pakistan cooperation. While India is a member of BRICS, Russia and Pakistan can still find common ground within this framework to address global economic challenges, call for a more equitable world order, and collaborate on issues like sustainable development and climate change.
These regional alliances not only provide a platform for cooperation but also reinforce the importance of a multipolar world where regional powers like Russia and Pakistan can collaborate on an equal footing. They create opportunities for both nations to diversify their diplomatic and economic partnerships, reducing dependency on any single global power and ensuring a balanced approach to international relations.
Changing geopolitics and the role of China
The changing geopolitical landscape, especially after the U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, has created a vacuum that both Russia and Pakistan are keen to address. In this context, China plays a pivotal role as a common friend to both nations. China’s BRI has already fostered closer economic ties between Pakistan and China, and Russia’s involvement in the initiative offers further opportunities for trilateral cooperation. The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a flagship project of the BRI, could potentially extend to Russia, linking the three nations through a network of infrastructure and trade routes that would enhance connectivity and economic integration.
China’s influence in Russia-Pakistan relations cannot be understated. As a rising global power, China’s strategic alignment with both Moscow and Islamabad provides a stabilizing factor in their bilateral relations. The shared vision of a multipolar world, where regional powers like Russia and China can counterbalance Western dominance, further strengthens the trilateral relationship.
Muhammad Athar Javed:
Russia Has a Role to Play in Bringing Pakistan Further Up the SCO’s Ladder
Impact of India–Pakistan rivalry
The longstanding rivalry between India and Pakistan is a critical factor in shaping Russia–Pakistan relations. Historically, Russia has maintained close ties with India, particularly in the defense sector. However, as global dynamics shift, Russia has shown a willingness to diversify its relations in South Asia. While maintaining its strategic partnership with India, Russia recognizes the importance of engaging with Pakistan as a key regional player.
The India–Pakistan rivalry adds a layer of complexity to Russia’s diplomatic balancing act. At the same time, both Russia and Pakistan are keen to ensure that their growing ties do not come at the expense of regional stability. By focusing on areas of mutual interest such as counterterrorism, economic development, and regional security, Russia and Pakistan can navigate the challenges posed by their respective relations with India.
The potential of bilateral cooperation
The potential for cooperation between Russia and Pakistan is vast, encompassing a wide range of sectors:
Diplomatic and Political Cooperation: Both nations can work together on regional and international platforms, advocating multilateralism, conflict resolution, and respect for international law. Their shared stance on such key issues as the importance of the United Nations and the need for a multipolar world can strengthen their political alliance.
Economic and Trade Relations: With the establishment of innovative transaction settlement mechanisms, as discussed by Pakistan’s high-level committee on Russia, both countries can significantly boost bilateral trade. Exploring opportunities in agriculture, industry, and infrastructure development will further solidify economic ties.
Science and Technology (S&T): Collaboration in science and technology, particularly in space exploration, cybersecurity, and artificial intelligence, can propel both nations to new heights of innovation and competitiveness.
Education and Cultural Exchange: Expanding educational exchanges and cultural ties can foster mutual understanding and strengthen people-to-people connections, laying the foundation for a long-lasting partnership.
Defense Cooperation: Building on existing military collaboration, Russia and Pakistan can explore joint defense production, training programs, and intelligence sharing to enhance their security capabilities.
Energy and Industrial Cooperation: Russia’s expertise in energy, combined with Pakistan’s growing demand, creates opportunities for cooperation in oil and gas exploration, renewable energy projects, and industrial development.
Pakistan’s efforts to strengthen relations
Pakistan has demonstrated its commitment to strengthening relations with Russia through various diplomatic and strategic initiatives. The establishment of a high-level committee on Russia, headed by Minister for Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives Ahsan Iqbal, is a testament to Pakistan’s proactive approach. This committee is working on developing a comprehensive roadmap for engagement with Russia, including innovative ways to facilitate trade and business transactions despite international sanctions.
Additionally, Pakistan’s efforts to expand rail connectivity through the Pakistan–Iran–Turkey route and explore multi-gauge options highlight its ambition to enhance regional connectivity, with potential benefits for the Russia–Pakistan trade.
The future of Russia-Pakistan relations
As global power dynamics continue to shift, Russia and Pakistan have a unique opportunity to redefine their relations. The Ukraine crisis, the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, and tensions in the South China Sea have underscored the need for new alliances and partnerships that prioritize regional stability and economic growth. With China as a common ally, Russia and Pakistan can work together to navigate these challenges and seize opportunities for cooperation.
The true potential of Russia–Pakistan relations lies in their ability to adapt to changing geopolitical realities while maintaining a focus on shared interests. By deepening their cooperation across diplomatic, political, economic, and security dimensions, Russia and Pakistan can emerge as strong partners in a multipolar world, contributing to regional and global stability.
The future of Russia–Pakistan relations is sure to be bright, marked by a convergence of interests, strategic cooperation, and a shared vision for regional stability. With careful diplomacy and proactive engagement, both nations can unlock the full potential of their partnership, paving the way for a new era of bilateral relations.
在国际地缘政治风云变幻的背景下，俄巴两国在共同利益和相互尊重的基础上，即将进入合作的新阶段。从历史上看，两国之间的联盟和竞争关系错综复杂，但现在两国已经找到了共同点，尤其是在美国从阿富汗撤军、乌克兰危机以及南中国海和中东等地区的权力格局发生变化之后。这种利益的趋同，再加上共同盟友中国的影响，为两国在多个领域建立强有力的伙伴关系提供了一个独特的机会。
利益交汇点和现有合作
俄罗斯和巴基斯坦利益的趋同根植于他们对地区稳定、经济增长和加强安全的共同愿望。两国一直主张和平解决阿富汗冲突，认识到该地区的不稳定可能产生深远的影响。巴基斯坦凭借其战略位置，在阿富汗撤军后成为一个关键角色，而俄罗斯凭借其在中亚的历史联系和战略利益，寻求保持其在该地区的影响力。
俄罗斯和巴基斯坦之间现有的合作跨越了几个关键领域，包括国防、能源和经济。两国举行了“友谊”演习等联合军事演习，加强了防务合作。俄罗斯还表示有兴趣投资巴基斯坦的能源部门，特别是在建设南北天然气管道方面，这将大大促进巴基斯坦的能源基础设施。
区域平台的影响:上海合作组织、“一带一路”、金砖国家等
上海合作组织、“一带一路”倡议、金砖国家等区域平台对加强俄巴关系至关重要。作为上海合作组织成员国，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦积极致力于打击恐怖主义、促进地区安全、促进经济合作。上海合作组织为两国与其他地区大国开展合作提供了多边框架，进一步巩固了两国战略伙伴关系。
中国倡导的“一带一路”是连接俄罗斯和巴基斯坦的又一重要纽带。中巴经济走廊(CPEC)是“一带一路”的关键组成部分，已经加深了巴基斯坦和中国之间的经济联系。俄罗斯对“一带一路”的潜在参与可以将这些好处扩展到更广泛的区域背景下，通过从莫斯科到伊斯兰堡的基础设施、贸易和能源项目将欧亚大陆连接起来。
此外，由巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国、南非、埃塞俄比亚、伊朗、埃及和阿拉伯联合酋长国组成的金砖国家集团为俄巴合作提供了另一条途径。虽然印度是金砖国家的成员，但俄罗斯和巴基斯坦仍然可以在这一框架内找到共同点，以应对全球经济挑战，呼吁建立更公平的世界秩序，并在可持续发展和气候变化等问题上进行合作。
这些地区联盟不仅提供了一个合作平台，而且还加强了一个多极世界的重要性，使俄罗斯和巴基斯坦等地区大国能够在平等的基础上进行合作。它们为两国创造了使外交和经济伙伴关系多样化的机会，减少了对任何一个全球大国的依赖，并确保以平衡的方式处理国际关系。
不断变化的地缘政治和中国的角色
不断变化的地缘政治格局，特别是在美国从阿富汗撤军之后，创造了一个真空，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦都渴望解决这个问题。在此背景下，中国作为两国的共同朋友发挥着关键作用。中国的“一带一路”倡议已经在巴基斯坦和中国之间建立了更紧密的经济联系，俄罗斯的参与为三方合作提供了进一步的机会。中巴经济走廊(CPEC)是“一带一路”的旗舰项目，可能会延伸到俄罗斯，通过基础设施和贸易路线网络将这三个国家连接起来，从而加强互联互通和经济一体化。
中国在俄巴关系中的影响力不容低估。作为一个正在崛起的全球大国，中国与莫斯科和伊斯兰堡的战略结盟为两国双边关系提供了一个稳定因素。对多极世界的共同愿景，即像俄罗斯和中国这样的地区大国可以制衡西方的主导地位，进一步加强了三边关系。
Muhammad Athar Javed:
俄罗斯在提升巴基斯坦在上海合作组织中的地位方面可以发挥作用
印巴竞争的影响
印度和巴基斯坦之间的长期竞争是影响俄巴关系的一个关键因素。历史上，俄罗斯与印度保持着密切的关系，特别是在国防领域。然而，随着全球格局的变化，俄罗斯已经表现出了在南亚建立多元化关系的意愿。在保持与印度的战略伙伴关系的同时，俄罗斯认识到与巴基斯坦作为一个关键的地区参与者接触的重要性。
印巴对抗给俄罗斯的外交平衡行为增加了一层复杂性。与此同时，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦都迫切希望确保两国日益增长的关系不会以牺牲地区稳定为代价。通过关注反恐、经济发展和地区安全等共同感兴趣的领域，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦可以应对各自与印度关系带来的挑战。
双边合作的潜力
俄罗斯和巴基斯坦之间的合作潜力巨大，涉及广泛的领域:
外交和政治合作:两国可以在地区和国际平台上共同努力，倡导多边主义，解决冲突，尊重国际法。它们在诸如联合国的重要性和多极世界的必要性等关键问题上的共同立场可以加强它们的政治联盟。
经贸关系:正如巴基斯坦对俄问题高级别委员会所讨论的那样，通过建立创新的交易结算机制，两国可以显著促进双边贸易。探索农业、工业和基础设施发展的机遇，将进一步巩固经济联系。
科技:科技领域的合作，特别是在太空探索、网络安全和人工智能方面的合作，可以推动两国在创新和竞争力方面达到新的高度。
教育和文化交流:扩大教育交流和文化联系可以促进相互了解，加强民间联系，为持久的伙伴关系奠定基础。
防务合作:在现有军事合作的基础上，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦可以探索联合防务生产、培训计划和情报共享，以增强其安全能力。
能源和工业合作:俄罗斯在能源方面的专业知识，加上巴基斯坦不断增长的需求，为油气勘探、可再生能源项目和工业发展方面的合作创造了机会。
巴基斯坦加强关系的努力
巴基斯坦通过各种外交和战略倡议表明了加强与俄罗斯关系的承诺。由规划、发展和特别倡议部长Ahsan Iqbal领导的俄罗斯问题高级别委员会的成立证明了巴基斯坦采取的积极措施。该委员会正在努力制定与俄罗斯接触的全面路线图，包括在国际制裁的情况下促进贸易和商业交易的创新方式。
此外，巴基斯坦通过巴基斯坦-伊朗-土耳其路线扩大铁路连通性的努力，以及探索多轨铁路的选择，突显了其加强区域连通性的雄心，这对俄巴贸易有潜在的好处。
俄巴关系的未来
随着全球力量格局的持续变化，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦有一个重新定义两国关系的独特机会。乌克兰危机、巴以冲突以及南中国海的紧张局势凸显了建立新的联盟和伙伴关系的必要性，这些联盟和伙伴关系优先考虑地区稳定和经济增长。俄罗斯和巴基斯坦作为共同盟友，可以携手应对这些挑战，抓住合作机遇。
俄巴关系的真正潜力在于两国能够适应不断变化的地缘政治现实，同时保持对共同利益的关注。通过深化两国在外交、政治、经济和安全领域的合作，俄罗斯和巴基斯坦可以在多极世界中成为强有力的伙伴，为地区和全球稳定做出贡献。
俄巴关系的未来是光明的，两国利益融合，战略合作，地区稳定愿景一致。通过谨慎的外交和积极的接触，两国可以释放其伙伴关系的全部潜力，为双边关系的新时代铺平道路。
( 注意： 本文是用AI翻译的，或有误差。请以原版英文为准。谢谢。)
Reference Link:- https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/analytics/unveiling-the-potential-of-strategic-cooperation-between-russia-and-pakistan/