(下边有中文翻译请继续看到底。 谢谢。)

The SCO Summit scheduled for 15-16 October 2024 in Islamabad is set to be a significant event for regional cooperation, bringing together leaders from across the region. However, one notable absentee is Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who has once again chosen not to attend the summit, just as he was absent from the previous SCO Summit in Moscow. Instead, Modi has nominated his Foreign Minister to represent India, which raises questions about his reluctance to actively engage with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and its Eastern partners.

Modi’s Reluctance to Engage in SCO Summits

Modi’s repeated absence from SCO summits suggests discomfort or reluctance to engage with the organization’s core objectives. While the SCO is a platform that promotes regional cooperation, security, and economic development among Eurasian and Asian nations, Modi’s preference appears to lean towards organizations like the Quad, AUKUS, and NATO, which are largely dominated by Western countries and serve strategic interests that align with the West’s geopolitical agendas. His absence raises doubts about India’s genuine commitment to regional cooperation within platforms like the SCO.

India’s Recent Behavior in BRICS

India’s behavior in BRICS (another organization aimed at promoting cooperation among emerging economies) has also been peculiar. While most BRICS nations, including China, Russia, Brazil, and South Africa, are pushing for de-dollarization and promoting trade in local currencies, India has been hesitant and appears to be acting in favor of American interests. This behavior further fuels the argument that India, despite being an Eastern country, is increasingly aligning itself with Western policies, prioritizing US interests over regional cooperation.

India’s Role in SCO and Regional Blocks

India’s participation in the SCO, BRICS, SAARC, or other regional organizations often seems more symbolic than substantive. Despite being a significant regional power, India’s actions do not reflect the ethos of these organizations, which focus on cooperation, economic development, and peace. Instead, India has spoiled relations with almost all its immediate neighbors—Pakistan, China, Nepal, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka—and has consistently adopted a confrontational approach in regional matters.

India’s Western Tilt

India’s preference for engaging with distant Western powers over building strong ties with its neighboring countries or regional organizations indicates a significant misfit within platforms like the SCO or BRICS. While these organizations focus on promoting regional harmony, cooperation, and multilateralism, India seems more interested in building alliances that advance Western geopolitical agendas.

India’s absence from the SCO Summit in Islamabad, following its similar stance at the SCO Summit in Moscow, coupled with its controversial behavior in BRICS, underscores a growing disconnect between India and the regional organizations that prioritize collective growth, cooperation, and stability. India, once viewed as a key regional player, has increasingly aligned itself with Western-led alliances such as the Quad and AUKUS, distancing itself from the very principles that underpin Eastern platforms like the SCO, BRICS, and SAARC.

India’s Declining Credibility in Regional Blocks

India’s actions have not gone unnoticed. Its refusal to fully engage in SCO discussions, especially with regard to issues of economic connectivity and regional security, is a glaring signal of its waning commitment to the collective interests of its neighbors. Similarly, India’s opposition to the de-dollarization initiative in BRICS, while other members pushed for reducing dependency on the US dollar, further exposed its inclination toward American interests over regional collaboration. This behavior has not only isolated India but has also led to growing frustrations among member states, who see India as a misfit within these regional frameworks.

In SAARC, India’s persistent tensions with neighboring countries, particularly Pakistan, have crippled the organization’s ability to function effectively. By pursuing unilateral, confrontational policies, India has alienated itself from the broader South Asian community. Its failure to contribute positively to regional peace and prosperity has raised serious questions about its sincerity and long-term commitment to the collective well-being of the region.

Risk of Expulsion from Regional Platforms

India’s credibility within the SCO, BRICS, and SAARC has been significantly damaged, and if its current trajectory continues, it risks being marginalized or even expelled from these regional blocks. These organizations are built on principles of multilateralism, cooperation, and respect for mutual interests—principles that India increasingly seems to be ignoring. As its actions are increasingly seen as disruptive rather than constructive, there is a growing possibility that India may face diplomatic repercussions, including being sidelined or kicked out of these organizations altogether.

India’s Western Tilt and Regional Irrelevance

India’s overwhelming eagerness to engage with Western alliances like NATO, Quad, and AUKUS, while avoiding participation in Eastern platforms, highlights its hypocritical approach to regional diplomacy. This tilt toward the West has exposed India’s intentions of prioritizing Western interests at the expense of its own region’s stability and prosperity. Instead of fostering regional partnerships, India has positioned itself as a proxy for Western agendas, which is fundamentally at odds with the goals of Eastern organizations.

India’s Growing Isolation

As the SCO Summit in Islamabad proceeds without Modi, India’s repeated absence and controversial positions have left it increasingly isolated on the global stage. Its refusal to engage in constructive dialogue and its alignment with Western geopolitical strategies have led to a significant erosion of its credibility within regional organizations. India is losing its relevance and respect in the SCO, BRICS, and SAARC, and if this trend continues, it may soon find itself without a seat at the table, unable to influence the region’s future.

将于2024年10月15日至16日在伊斯兰堡举行的上海合作组织峰会,将是本地区领导人汇聚一堂的重要地区合作盛会。然而,一个值得注意的缺席者是印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪,他再次选择不参加峰会,就像他没有参加上一届上海合作组织莫斯科峰会一样。相反,莫迪提名他的外交部长代表印度,这引发了人们对他不愿积极参与上海合作组织及其东方伙伴的质疑。

莫迪不愿参加上合组织峰会

莫迪多次缺席上海合作组织峰会,表明他不愿意参与该组织的核心目标。虽然上合组织是促进欧亚和亚洲国家之间区域合作、安全和经济发展的平台,但莫迪似乎更倾向于四方联盟、欧亚联盟和北约等组织,这些组织在很大程度上由西方国家主导,服务于与西方地缘政治议程一致的战略利益。他的缺席引发了人们对印度在上海合作组织等平台内开展区域合作的真正承诺的怀疑。

印度最近在金砖国家的表现

印度在金砖国家(另一个旨在促进新兴经济体之间合作的组织)中的行为也很特别。虽然大多数金砖国家,包括中国、俄罗斯、巴西和南非,都在推动去美元化和促进本币贸易,但印度一直犹豫不决,似乎在为美国的利益而行动。这种行为进一步加剧了这样一种观点,即印度尽管是一个东方国家,却越来越多地与西方政策保持一致,将美国的利益置于区域合作之上。

印度在上海合作组织和地区集团中的作用

印度参加上合组织、金砖国家、南盟或其他地区组织往往更具象征意义,而非实质性。尽管是一个重要的地区大国,但印度的行动并没有反映出这些组织的精神,这些组织关注的是合作、经济发展与和平。相反,印度破坏了与几乎所有近邻——巴基斯坦、中国、尼泊尔、孟加拉国和斯里兰卡——的关系,并在地区事务上一贯采取对抗态度。

印度向西倾斜

印度倾向于与遥远的西方大国接触,而不是与邻国或地区组织建立牢固的关系,这表明印度与上海合作组织或金砖国家等平台格格不入。这些组织致力于促进地区和谐、合作和多边主义,而印度似乎更感兴趣的是建立促进西方地缘政治议程的联盟。

继在上海合作组织莫斯科峰会上采取类似立场后,印度缺席了在伊斯兰堡举行的上海合作组织峰会,再加上其在金砖国家的争议行为,突显了印度与优先考虑集体增长、合作和稳定的地区组织之间日益脱节。曾经被视为地区关键角色的印度,越来越多地与西方领导的联盟结盟,如四国联盟和欧亚联盟,远离支撑上海合作组织、金砖国家和南亚区域合作联盟等东方平台的原则。

印度在地区集团中的信誉下降

印度的行动并没有被忽视。它拒绝全面参与上海合作组织的讨论,特别是在经济互联互通和地区安全问题上,这是一个明显的信号,表明它对邻国集体利益的承诺正在减弱。同样,印度反对金砖国家的去美元化倡议,而其他成员国则推动减少对美元的依赖,这进一步暴露了印度在区域合作中倾向于美国利益。这种行为不仅孤立了印度,也导致了成员国越来越多的失望,他们认为印度不适合这些地区框架。

在南亚区域合作联盟,印度与邻国,特别是巴基斯坦的持续紧张关系削弱了该组织有效运作的能力。印度奉行单边、对抗性的政策,使自己与更广泛的南亚社区疏远了。它未能对区域和平与繁荣作出积极贡献,这使人们严重怀疑它对该区域集体福祉的诚意和长期承诺。

被区域平台驱逐的风险

印度在上合组织、金砖国家和南盟的信誉已经严重受损,如果按照目前的轨迹发展下去,它将面临被边缘化甚至被驱逐出这些区域集团的风险。这些组织建立在多边主义、合作和尊重共同利益的原则之上,而印度似乎越来越忽视这些原则。由于印度的行为越来越被视为破坏性的,而不是建设性的,印度面临外交影响的可能性越来越大,包括被边缘化或被完全踢出这些组织。

印度向西倾斜与地区无关

印度迫切希望与北约、四方联盟和美国等西方联盟接触,同时避免参与东方平台,这凸显了其在地区外交上的虚伪态度。这种向西方的倾斜暴露了印度以牺牲本地区的稳定和繁荣为代价优先考虑西方利益的意图。印度没有培育地区伙伴关系,而是将自己定位为西方议程的代理人,这与东方组织的目标从根本上是不一致的。

印度日益孤立

随着上合组织伊斯兰堡峰会在莫迪缺席的情况下进行,印度的多次缺席和有争议的立场使其在全球舞台上越来越孤立。它拒绝参与建设性对话,并与西方地缘政治战略结盟,导致其在区域组织中的信誉严重受损。印度正在失去其在上合组织、金砖国家和南盟中的重要性和尊重,如果这种趋势继续下去,它可能很快就会发现自己在谈判中失去了一席之地,无法影响该地区的未来。

(  注意: 本文是用AI翻译的,或有误差。请以原版英文为准。谢谢。)

Reference Link:- https://www2.apdnews.cn/en/item/24/1014/axjdfmnacb777c7a1b7516.html

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