（下边有中文翻译请继续看到底。 谢谢。）
The recent agreement between the United States and Russia to restore full diplomatic relations marks a significant milestone in global geopolitics. The talks held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, facilitated by senior officials from both nations, signal the end of years of diplomatic estrangement. This development not only represents a shift in U.S. foreign policy under President Donald Trump but also reaffirms Russia’s role as a global power. By acknowledging Russian political influence and engaging in direct negotiations, the United States has set the stage for a transformed world order where cooperation prevails over confrontation.
Why Were Diplomatic Relations Broken?
The diplomatic rupture between Washington and Moscow began in 2016 with U.S. accusations of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Tensions escalated further in 2018 when the U.S. expelled Russian diplomats over allegations of poisoning a former Russian intelligence officer in the United Kingdom. However, the breaking point came in 2022, after the start of Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine. In response, the United States imposed harsh sanctions, expelled Russian envoys, and restricted the operations of Russian diplomatic missions. These measures triggered reciprocal actions from Moscow, leaving both embassies understaffed and bilateral relations at an all-time low.
Negative Impacts of Severed Diplomatic Ties
The deterioration of U.S.-Russia relations had severe consequences, affecting not just the two nations but the entire global community:
- Lack of Communication: With diplomatic missions largely inoperative, direct dialogue between the two nuclear powers was nearly impossible, increasing the risk of miscalculations and conflicts.
- Geopolitical Fragmentation: The hostility between the U.S. and Russia deepened global divisions, particularly in Europe, where the conflict in Ukraine disrupted political and economic stability.
- Economic Consequences: Trade restrictions and sanctions significantly affected global markets, particularly in energy and agriculture, leading to inflation and supply chain disruptions.
- Military Escalation: The absence of direct negotiations fueled military confrontations in Ukraine, increasing the human and financial costs.
- Global Security Concerns: The lack of U.S.-Russia engagement exacerbated conflicts in Syria, the Arctic, and other strategic regions, affecting global security frameworks.
The Benefits of Restoring Diplomatic Relations
With the agreement fully restoring diplomatic functions, a new chapter in U.S.-Russia relations has begun. This move carries significant benefits:
- Ending the Ukraine Conflict on Russian Terms: The Riyadh talks indicate a shift toward a realistic resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. With President Trump prioritizing diplomacy over prolonged military engagement, the conflict is likely to conclude in a manner favorable to Russia. This means Ukraine will not join NATO, and Russia’s territorial gains will be acknowledged.
- Erosion of NATO’s Influence: With the U.S. signaling a reduced commitment to European security, NATO’s role is set to diminish. This shift aligns with Russia’s long-standing objective of limiting Western military presence near its borders.
- Economic Revival: The resumption of diplomatic ties is expected to lead to the lifting of sanctions, allowing Russia to reintegrate into global trade networks. This will benefit energy markets, stabilize commodity prices, and foster economic cooperation.
- Enhanced Strategic Cooperation: The United States and Russia have common interests in counterterrorism, space exploration, and Arctic development. Renewed diplomacy paves the way for collaborative projects in these areas.
- Middle East Stability: Russia and the U.S. working together could lead to improved security in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia’s role in hosting the talks highlights the importance of multilateral diplomacy in resolving international conflicts.
- Global Peace and Order: A stable U.S.-Russia relationship reduces the likelihood of new conflicts, creating a more predictable and balanced world order.
Impact on the Global Stage
The diplomatic breakthrough in Riyadh reshapes the geopolitical landscape. President Trump’s recognition of Russia’s resurgence aligns with a broader shift in global power dynamics. The West’s strategy of isolating Moscow has failed, and Russia’s influence is now openly acknowledged. This development carries far-reaching consequences:
- A Multipolar World Order: The era of unchallenged U.S. global dominance is over. Russia, alongside China, is cementing its position as a key player in international affairs.
- Europe’s Strategic Dilemma: European nations, previously aligned with U.S. policies against Russia, must now reconsider their stance. With reduced U.S. military support, Europe may seek direct negotiations with Moscow.
- A New Security Architecture: The recognition of Russian supremacy in Ukraine suggests a redefinition of European security arrangements, potentially leading to a reduced Western military presence in Eastern Europe.
- A Shift in U.S. Priorities: By refocusing on Asia and countering China, the U.S. is reshaping its global strategy. This shift allows Russia to consolidate its sphere of influence in Europe and Central Asia.
A Vision for the Future
The Riyadh agreement is more than a diplomatic reset; it is the first step toward a new world order. President Trump’s pragmatic approach acknowledges Russia’s strategic importance and paves the way for future cooperation. The era of Cold War-style hostility is fading, replaced by a recognition of mutual interests. The conflict in Ukraine, a major point of contention, is set to conclude under terms acceptable to Moscow, marking a significant geopolitical victory for Russia.
The restoration of diplomatic ties is a clear signal that the world is moving towards greater realism in international relations. The West’s isolation of Russia has proven unsustainable, and the time has come for a constructive, cooperative approach. As the global balance of power shifts, diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Russia offers a path to stability, prosperity, and a new era of international relations.
美国和俄罗斯最近达成的恢复全面外交关系的协议是全球地缘政治的一个重要里程碑。在沙特阿拉伯利雅得举行的会谈由两国高级官员促成，标志着多年外交隔阂的结束。这一发展不仅代表了唐纳德·特朗普总统领导下美国外交政策的转变，也重申了俄罗斯作为全球大国的作用。通过承认俄罗斯的政治影响力并参与直接谈判，美国为一个合作压倒对抗的世界秩序的转变奠定了基础。
为什么外交关系破裂？
华盛顿和莫斯科之间的外交破裂始于2016年，当时美国指责俄罗斯干涉美国总统选举。2018年，美国因涉嫌在英国毒害一名前俄罗斯情报官员而驱逐了俄罗斯外交官，紧张局势进一步升级。然而，突破点出现在2022年，俄罗斯在乌克兰的特别军事行动开始后。作为回应，美国实施了严厉的制裁，驱逐了俄罗斯特使，并限制了俄罗斯外交使团的运作。这些措施引发了莫斯科方面的回应，导致两国大使馆人手不足，双边关系降至历史最低点。
断交的负面影响
美俄关系的恶化产生了严重后果，不仅影响到两国，而且影响到整个国际社会。
缺乏沟通：由于外交使团基本上不起作用，两个核大国之间的直接对话几乎是不可能的，这增加了误判和冲突的风险。
地缘政治分裂：美国和俄罗斯之间的敌意加深了全球分歧，尤其是在欧洲，乌克兰冲突破坏了欧洲的政治和经济稳定。
经济后果：贸易限制和制裁严重影响了全球市场，特别是能源和农业市场，导致通货膨胀和供应链中断。
军事升级：缺乏直接谈判加剧了乌克兰的军事对抗，增加了人力和财政成本。
全球安全问题：美俄缺乏接触加剧了叙利亚、北极和其他战略地区的冲突，影响了全球安全框架。
恢复外交关系的好处
随着该协议全面恢复外交职能，美俄关系开启了新的篇章。这一举措带来了显著的好处：
按照俄罗斯的条件结束乌克兰冲突：利雅得会谈表明，乌克兰冲突朝着现实解决的方向发生了转变。在特朗普总统优先考虑外交而不是长期军事接触的情况下，这场冲突很可能以有利于俄罗斯的方式结束。这意味着乌克兰不会加入北约，俄罗斯的领土扩张将得到承认。
北约影响力的削弱：随着美国发出减少对欧洲安全承诺的信号，北约的作用势必减弱。这一转变符合俄罗斯长期以来的目标，即限制西方在其边境附近的军事存在。
经济复苏：恢复外交关系有望导致解除制裁，使俄罗斯重新融入全球贸易网络。这将有利于能源市场，稳定大宗商品价格，促进经济合作。
加强战略合作：美国和俄罗斯在反恐、太空探索和北极开发方面有共同利益。新的外交努力为这些领域的合作项目铺平了道路。
中东稳定：俄罗斯和美国的合作可以改善中东的安全。沙特阿拉伯在主持会谈中发挥的作用凸显了多边外交在解决国际冲突中的重要性。
全球和平与秩序：稳定的美俄关系减少了发生新冲突的可能性，创造了一个更可预测、更平衡的世界秩序。
对全球舞台的影响
利雅得的外交突破重塑了地缘政治格局。特朗普总统承认俄罗斯的复苏，与全球力量格局的更广泛转变是一致的。西方孤立莫斯科的策略失败了，俄罗斯的影响力现在得到了公开承认。这一发展具有深远的影响：
多极世界秩序：美国独霸全球的时代结束了。俄罗斯与中国一道，正在巩固其在国际事务中的关键角色地位。
欧洲的战略困境：以前支持美国对俄政策的欧洲国家现在必须重新考虑自己的立场。随着美国军事支持的减少，欧洲可能会寻求与莫斯科直接谈判。
新的安全架构：承认俄罗斯在乌克兰的霸主地位意味着重新定义欧洲的安全安排，这可能导致西方在东欧的军事存在减少。
美国优先事项的转变：美国正在重新调整其全球战略，重新聚焦亚洲并对抗中国。这种转变使俄罗斯得以巩固其在欧洲和中亚的势力范围。
对未来的展望
利雅得协议不仅仅是一次外交重置；这是迈向世界新秩序的第一步。特朗普总统的务实态度承认俄罗斯的战略重要性，为未来的合作铺平了道路。冷战式的敌对时代正在消退，取而代之的是对共同利益的认识。乌克兰冲突是一个主要的争论点，它将在莫斯科可以接受的条件下结束，这标志着俄罗斯在地缘政治上取得了重大胜利。
外交关系的恢复清楚地表明，世界正在国际关系中走向更大的现实主义。事实证明，西方对俄罗斯的孤立是不可持续的，现在是采取建设性合作方式的时候了。随着全球力量平衡的变化，美国和俄罗斯之间的外交接触为稳定、繁荣和国际关系的新时代提供了一条道路。
( 注意： 本文是用AI翻译的，或有误差。请以原版英文为准。谢谢。)