美国当地时间10月22日,国际货币基金组织(IMF)发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》。报告称,在通货紧缩过程中,全球经济保持了异常强劲的韧性,预计2024年和2025年全球经济增速为3.2%。
在新兴市场方面,亚洲新兴经济体展现出了强劲的增长势头,特别是在中国和印度等国家的引领下,人工智能和电子产品领域的需求急剧上升。然而,中东、中亚以及撒哈拉以南非洲地区的增长前景却因大宗商品供应链中断、冲突以及极端天气等多重因素而蒙上阴影。
IMF预计,在未来五年内,全球经济增速将维持在3.1%左右,这一增速与疫情前相比并无明显优势。生产率增长缓慢、人口老龄化等结构性问题持续抑制着全球经济的增长潜力。
11月11日,来自中亚和东盟的多个国家政企代表团在广州参加了一次重要国际合作论坛。与会的代表团和中国企业家们探讨和交流了“在新的经济形势下,国际间合作的更多可能性”及区域经济一体化等议题。一带一路国际贸易协会会长乔军舰先生发表了他对多边合作的观点,他认为:经济越是遇冷,企业和企业越是要抱团,政府和企业越是要抱团,只有合作,才能凝聚更大的力量去寻求突破。泰国国会主任冯韬先生就东南亚经济体的发展分享了“东南亚的经济发展新趋势和扩大区域合作的机遇。”冯先生认为:数字经济与AI是新的经济增长点和未来,对于任何一个政府和企业来说,一定要跟紧这个趋势,任何时候出发都不算晚。
一带一路国际贸易协会秘书长张博士在论坛上发表了“企业出海困境与选择”的专题演讲,并且介绍了FUNBAY的出海解决方案。他强调:对企业来说,新的市场固然有很大的吸引力和机会点,但是潜在的风险是企业首先应该考虑的,而借助funbay的线上工具和海外团队,可以规避风险,稳健的进入一个陌生的国际市场。
On October 22, U.S. local time, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the latest edition of the World Economic Outlook report. The report states that despite the deflationary process, the global economy has maintained an exceptionally strong resilience, with an expected growth rate of 3.2% for 2024 and 2025.
In terms of emerging markets, Asian emerging economies have shown strong growth momentum, particularly led by countries like China and India, where demand in the fields of artificial intelligence and electronic products has surged. However, the growth outlook for the Middle East, Central Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa has been overshadowed by multiple factors such as disruptions in commodity supply chains, conflicts, and extreme weather.
The IMF predicts that global economic growth will maintain around 3.1% over the next five years, a rate that does not show significant advantages compared to pre-pandemic levels. Structural issues such as slow productivity growth and an aging population continue to suppress the growth potential of the global economy.
On November 11, representatives from various countries in Central Asia and ASEAN participated in an important international cooperation forum in Guangzhou. The delegations in attendance discussed and exchanged ideas with Chinese entrepreneurs on topics such as “more possibilities for international cooperation under the new economic situation” and regional economic integration. Mr. Qiao Junjian, President of the Belt and Road International Trade Association, expressed his views on multilateral cooperation, stating that: “The colder the economy gets, the more businesses need to unite, and the more governments and enterprises need to collaborate. Only through cooperation can we gather greater strength to seek breakthroughs.” Mr. Feng Tao, Director of the Thai Parliament, shared insights on the development of Southeast Asian economies, highlighting “new trends in economic development in Southeast Asia and opportunities for expanding regional cooperation.” Mr. Feng believes that: “The digital economy and AI are new growth points and the future. For any government and enterprise, it is essential to keep pace with this trend; it’s never too late to start.”
Dr. Zhang, Secretary-General of the Belt and Road International Trade Association, delivered a keynote speech on “The Dilemmas and Choices of Enterprises Going Overseas” at the forum, introducing FUNBAY’s overseas solutions. He emphasized that while new markets certainly have significant attraction and opportunities for enterprises, the potential risks are what companies should consider first. By utilizing FUNBAY’s online tools and overseas teams, risks can be mitigated, allowing for a stable entry into unfamiliar international markets.