{"id":33835,"date":"2026-06-21T11:21:44","date_gmt":"2026-06-21T11:21:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/?p=33835"},"modified":"2026-06-21T11:21:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-21T11:21:48","slug":"iran-without-sanctions-pakistans-15bn-upside","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/?p=33835","title":{"rendered":"Iran without sanctions: Pakistan’s $15bn upside"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Flags
Flags of Pakistan and Iran. \u2014 AFP\/File<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A sanction-free Iran could save Pakistan $10-15 billion a year in energy costs and add 2-3 percentage points to GDP. More importantly, it would flip Pakistan from an energy price-taker into an energy corridor. A sanction-free Iran would unlock Iran\u2019s 157 billion barrels of proven oil reserves (fourth globally) and 33 trillion cubic meters of natural gas (second globally). For Pakistan, few geopolitical shifts offer this scale of asymmetric upside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iran\u2019s South Pars field could supply 750-1,000 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) of natural gas to Pakistan, addressing 20-30 per cent of its shortfall. A sanction-free Iran could finance the remaining 781km Pakistani segment ($2-3 billion), stalled since 2014 due to US threats. This would slash Pakistan\u2019s LNG import bill by $5-7 billion annually (at current prices), boost industrial output in Punjab and Sindh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A sanction-free Iran could offer Pakistan crude oil at 10-20 per cent below Brent benchmarks ($60-70\/bbl in early 2026), leveraging Iran\u2019s excess capacity. Pakistan, importing 70 per cent of its 20 million tons annual oil needs, could save $3-5 billion yearly. Joint refineries \u2014 upgrading Parco, for example \u2014 with Iranian technology and investment could process heavy Iranian crude, creating 5,000-10,000 jobs and reducing refined product imports by 15-20 per cent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How about cross-border electricity imports? Iran already exports 100-200 MW to Balochistan border districts \u2014 this could scale to 1,000-2,000 MW. For Pakistan\u2019s grid (facing 15-20 per cent losses and blackouts), this means reliable, low-cost power ($0.05\/kWh vs. domestic $0.10+). A sanction-free Iran could mean grid expansion, long-term PPAs (power purchase agreements) and competitive pricing. Yes, immediate relief for Balochistan, lower diesel generation and reduced outages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Iran becomes sanction-free, Pakistan\u2019s geography turns into an energy toll gate. Pakistan can become a refining and transshipment hub \u2014 storage at Gwadar, crude swaps and blending. Iran-Pakistan-China annual transit revenue: $2-$3 billion. Pakistan becomes a connector, not a client.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Downstream petrochemicals are where real money lies. Access to cheap Iranian ethane, LPG, and naphtha would unlock fertiliser expansion, plastics, and polymers \u2014 $8-12 billion in new petrochemical investment over 7\u201410 years. Annual exports could reach $3-5 billion, with import substitution of another $2\u20143 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potential transit revenue $2-3 billion. Refinery utilisation $1.8-2.5 billion. Downstream petrochemicals $5-8 billion. Total $9-13.5 billion. Imagine lower power tariffs, reduced circular debt, and improved energy security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A sanction-free Iran means rupee-rial trade, energy for rice and textiles and local currency swaps. A sanction-free Iran doesn\u2019t just cheapen Pakistan\u2019s energy \u2014 it rewires Pakistan\u2019s balance of payments, industrial base, and geopolitical leverage. Energy stops being a liability and becomes an income stream.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reference Link:- https:\/\/www.thenews.pk\/print\/1392668-comment-iran-without-sanctions-pakistan-s-15bn-upside<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A sanction-free Iran could save Pakistan $10-15 billion a year in energy costs and add 2-3 percentage points to GDP. More importantly, it would flip Pakistan from an energy price-taker into an energy corridor. A sanction-free Iran would unlock Iran\u2019s 157 billion barrels of proven oil reserves (fourth globally) and 33 trillion cubic meters of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"aside","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2],"tags":[30796,27853,6690,2769,25805,30795,1990,30469,483,30794,6674,2906],"class_list":["post-33835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-aside","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sample-category","tag-cheaper-energy-for-pakistan","tag-end-of-war","tag-energy-3","tag-exports-2","tag-gdp-3","tag-impact-on-pakistan-economy","tag-iran-2","tag-islamabad-memorandum","tag-pakistan-2","tag-pakistan-iran-bilateral-relations","tag-peace-deal-2","tag-trade-2","post_format-post-format-aside"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33835"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33835\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33836,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33835\/revisions\/33836"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gsrra.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}