持续的热浪和干旱似乎很快就会结束，随之而来的是季风降雨。热浪和干旱引发了许多野火，破坏了森林、财产、动物和人类的生命。据预测，今年巴基斯坦可能会遭遇暴雨，印度可能会像往常一样在旺季开放大坝，造成巴基斯坦更多洪水。2010年，巴基斯坦遭受了严重的洪水袭击，今年似乎又是一个艰难的一年。必须提前做好预防措施，转移重大灾害。洪水也会引起地震。保持警惕！
每年，仲夏的三个月都非常炎热，平均气温上升到40摄氏度以上。5月、6月和7月也被称为受干旱影响的月份，也是已知的严重热浪的月份。据伊斯兰堡首都发展局（CDA）的实地调查统计显示，这几个月来，森林中发生了火灾，而巴基斯坦首都伊斯兰堡及其周边地区的火灾事件急剧上升。据CDA统计，从2005年6月15日至2018年7月12日，位于伊斯兰堡首都地区的Margalla Hills共发生299起火灾。
然而，与过去相比，今年的野火事件数量相当多，而且非常严重，这主要是由于类似干旱的条件加上高温。马加拉山国家公园占地31000英亩，每年夏天都会发生几起火灾，尤其是对树木和动物造成不利影响。在本季，赛德布尔山脉和Chinari地区发生了几起重大火灾。今年，位于伊斯兰堡H-12区的国立科技大学（NUST）首次发生火灾。据报道，其他火灾发生在塔哈尔村、斯利那加公路和克什米尔Chowk。
一段视频显示，马加拉山上，两名年轻的Tiktoker用打火机点燃了森林。另一段在社交媒体上走红的视频中，一位名叫多利的TikToker兼模特女孩在后台表演并拍摄了与玛加拉·福里斯特的照片。早些时候，另一名TikToker在阿伯塔巴德点燃了森林，并被野生动物官员拘留。
森林火灾对环境造成有害影响，对财产和人的生命有害，并危及生态系统。总的来说，过去十年来，全世界森林火灾的数量和强度都在不断增加。然而，在巴基斯坦，这是异常高和严重的。这一现象引起了公众对森林火灾的环境和社会经济影响的关注。
虽然研究人员正在找出此类事件的根本原因并提出各种预防措施，但在制定有效措施以避免此类事件时，决策者很少主动出面。资源有限的政府也在尽最大努力，但到目前为止没有任何效果。
CDA和IWMB（伊斯兰堡野生动物管理委员会）每年都会发布例行公告，部署护林员进行巡逻，以防止火灾发生，在火灾季节为村民提供消防工作。有报道称，那些找不到工作的人故意放火焚烧森林。
总理谢巴斯·谢里夫注意到首都的森林大火，指示城市管理人员采取紧急措施。总理强调立即采取措施，从受影响地区疏散民众。他指示紧急动员消防队灭火。他还敦促气候变化部提出一项全面战略，以防止今后在伊斯兰堡和马加拉山发生此类事件。
与此同时，气候变化部长雪莉·雷赫曼（SherryRehman）也在推特上对火灾事件做出回应。她写道，CDA和IWMB正在包括NUST在内的多个地点扑灭马加拉全境的大火。国家灾害管理局（NDMA）派出巴基斯坦军队的直升机控制火势，其他机构则在地面开展行动。
野火对环境构成重大危险和严重挑战。许多变量，如天气条件和人类活动、火灾管理活动的燃料特性以及土地利用和气候的变化，都会影响火灾行为。气候变化被认为是森林火灾的一个关键因素。
巴基斯坦的许多森林都有较低的森林公路网，因此很难到达整个森林地区。一般来说，野火发生在人口较少的地区，距离公路很远，但一些人为行为会引发火灾蔓延。在实践中，RS和GIS是探索森林火灾及其蔓延的有用技术。利用各种气象模型来评估天气对林区的影响以及城市热量的影响有待进一步调查和研究。
值得一提的是，巴基斯坦不是环境污染的净贡献者。是印度在工业化过程中破坏了环境，但其影响是巴基斯坦。巴基斯坦只是印度人口的受害者，面临着气候变化的不利影响。敦促联合国和国际社会采取适当措施保护环境，帮助巴基斯坦克服对其经济、健康和社会规范的不利影响。
自然灾害直接影响我们的社会和经济生活。必须紧急解决这些问题。研究人员和学者正在进行研究，决策者正在制定适当的措施。政府也在发挥作用，克服这些问题。在这方面，还敦促广大公众发挥自己的作用，采取一切预防措施，避免这种危机。
翻译整理：那娜
责任编辑：陈龙狮
附件：本报时事评论员巴铁泽米尔简介
Zamir Awan，泽米尔阿万，笔名：巴铁泽米尔。
现任巴基斯坦国立科技大学中国研究中心副主任。巴基斯坦驻中国大使馆原科技参赞。
泽米尔生于1962年3月1日，80年代在中国留过学。在上海大学获得学士与硕士学位，机械专业。
从2010年，在巴基斯坦驻华大使馆，担任参赞，负责中巴两国之间科技交流与发展科技合作。中巴两国政治关系非常密切，通称“铁哥们儿全天候战略合作伙伴”的关系。科技算战略地位，所以两国也重视科技交流与合作。
泽米尔阿万，利用他在中国学习时学过的知识（包括农业、林业、生物学、健康业、工业、水电、能源、高等教育等等）加强了合作关系。签订了不少合同与协议，推动了不少项目。
他为巴中两国人民之间的友谊做了不少的工作，特别一带一路与巴中经济走廊方面。在他的任期中，在两国关系发展壮大。
从2020年起成为《澳门法治报》时事评论员。
Pakistan a victim of climate change
Prolonged heat waves and drought seem to reach an end soon, followed by monsoon rains. Heatwaves and drought caused many wildfires and damaged the forests, property, animals, and human lives. It is predicted that heavy rains may hit Pakistan this year, and India as usual may open its dams in peak season, causing more floods in Pakistan. Pakistan was hit with heavy floods in 2010, and this year seems a tough one again. Preventive measures must be placed well in advance to divert any major disaster. Flood also cause earthquakes too. Be alert!
Every year, three months that fall in the middle of summer are very hot with an average temperature rising above forty-degree centigrade. Also referred to as drought-hit months, May, June, and July are also the months known for severe heat waves. Fire erupts in the forests during these months while the instances of fire incidents in and around Pakistan’s capital Islamabad rise sharply, as revealed by field survey statistics of the Capital Development Authority (CDA), Islamabad. From June 15, 2005, to July 12, 2018, according to CDA statistics, a total number of 299 fires were recorded in the Margalla Hills, located in Islamabad Capital Territory.
This year, however, the number of wildfire instances was quite high and intense, as compared to the past, largely owing to the drought-like conditions coupled with high temperatures. Spread over 31,000 acres, the Margalla Hills National Park witnesses several fire incidents every year during summer in particular, adversely affecting both trees and animals. During the current season, several major fires broke out in the Saidpur range and Chinari area. This year, a fire erupted at the National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) in Sector H-12 in Islamabad, for the first time. The other fire incidents were reported in Talhar Village, Srinagar Highway, and Kashmir Chowk.
One video shows two young TikTokers setting the forest ablaze with a lighter on Margalla Hills. Another video that went viral on social media featured a TikToker cum model girl named Doli performing and shooting her photos with Margalla forest on fire in the backdrop. Earlier, another TikToker had set the woods on fire in Abbottabad and was taken into custody by wildlife officials.
With a detrimental impact on the environment, forest fires are harmful to property and human life as well as endanger the ecosystem. In general, there has been a growing increase in the amount and intensity of forest fires across the world over the last decade. However, in Pakistan, it is exceptionally high and serious. This phenomenon raises public concern about the environmental and socio-economic impacts of forest fires.
While the researchers are figuring out the root cause of such incidents and recommending various preventive measures, the policymakers rarely come forward when it comes to formulating effective measures to avert such incidents. The government with its limited resources is also making its best efforts, but to no avail so far.
The CDA and the IWMB (Islamabad Wildlife Management Board) make routine announcements every year to deploy forest guards for patrolling to prevent fire incidents, giving firefighting jobs to the villagers during the fire season. There are reports that those who could not get employment deliberately set the forests on fire.
Taking notice of the forest fire in the capital, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif directed city managers to take emergency measures. The prime minister stressed immediate steps to evacuate people from the affected area. He directed the mobilization of the fire brigade on an urgent basis to extinguish the fire. He also urged the Ministry of Climate Change to present a comprehensive strategy to prevent such incidents in Islamabad and Margalla Hills in the future.
Meanwhile, Minister for Climate Change Sherry Rehman also took to her Twitter handle to respond to the fire incident. She wrote that fires are being fought all over the Margalla by the CDA and the IWMB on several sites including the NUST. The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) sent the helicopters of the Pakistan Army to control the fire while the rest of the agencies carried out operations on the ground.
Wildfires pose a significant danger and a serious challenge to the environment. Many variables, such as weather conditions and human activities, fuel characteristics of fire management activities, and changes in land use and climate, affect fire behaviors. Climate change is considered a key factor attributable to forest fires.
Many forests in Pakistan have a low forest road network and therefore, it is difficult to reach the whole forest area. Generally, wildfires happen in less-populated areas and at a long distance from public roads, but some anthropogenic behaviors instigate fire spread. In practice, RS and GIS are useful techniques for exploring forest fires and their spread. Using various meteorological models to evaluate the impact of weather on forest regions and the influence of urban heat should be further investigated and researched.
It is worth mentioning that Pakistan is not a net contributor to environmental pollution. It is India, that has damaged the environment during the course of its industrialization, but, its impact is on Pakistan. Pakistan is merely a victim of the Indian population and facing the adverse impact of climate change. The UN and international community are urged to take appropriate measures to protect the environment and assist Pakistan to overcome the adverse impact on its economy, health, and social norms of Pakistan.
Natural disasters have a direct impact on our social and economic life. It is vital to address these issues on an emergency basis. The researchers and scholars are carrying out research and policymakers are formulating appropriate measures. The government is also playing its part to overcome such issues. In this regard, the general public is also urged to play their part and take all precautions to avoid such a crisis.
责任编辑：cls
关键字：時政、要聞、國際
Reference Link:- https://www.amfzbao.com/mpost.html?id=62aac45529f2dc3282411999
Reference Link:- http://www.southasia.com.pk/2022/06/13/taming-the-fire/