时事评论:乌克兰战争可能会改变世界秩序

时事评论:乌克兰战争可能会改变世界秩序

(本文章用机器翻译的, 很可能友差异。 请参考原版英文的。 谢谢

乌克兰战争给世界其他地区带来了许多惨痛的教训。作为最大的小麦生产国之一,它对全世界的粮食安全构成了挑战。俄罗斯制裁造成了燃料和能源危机。战争的不利影响不仅限于交战国家,还波及整个地区乃至全世界。这才刚刚开始,如果战争延长,影响会更加强烈,更加明显。

如果西方不高兴,将俄罗斯赶出 SWIFT 会让世界其他地区感到担忧,他们可以剥夺任何国家的类似国际系统、组织或设施。尽管如此,俄罗斯并没有受到任何影响,并且一直在利用其他选择。事实上,中国银联是国际支付和交易的一个很好的选择。全球有数百万人在使用银联卡。俄罗斯在没有遭受任何重大挫折的情况下,方便地转向了它。

美国冻结了俄罗斯资产,也让全球许多富人感到不安。他们是神圣的,如果西方对他们的国家或个人不满意,他们的资产可以随时被冻结。富人中出现了动荡,他们正在认真考虑将资产和财富转移到更安全、更安全的地方。尤其是,存放在美国和欧洲银行的黑钱或腐败所得不再被保存,他们可以被剥夺使用非法所得资金的权利。即使是合法的白钱也有被没收的危险。

将俄罗斯驱逐出人权理事会,也是西方霸权能够做出公正、非理性、有偏见的决定的先例。这次驱逐行动是西方随意而拙劣的设计。该案本应得到审议,俄罗斯本应得到为自己辩护的机会。不幸的是,它不符合优点和原则。这表明西方正在支配国际机构和组织。它传达了一个明确的信息,即这种机构只是一种胁迫工具,只是用来向对手施加压力。

事实上,制裁、国际金融机构、FATF、国际货币基金组织、世界银行等,都是西方胁迫的工具,经常被用来施压以实现其政治目标。最近的巴基斯坦和斯里兰卡的案例,就是非常典型的例子。事实上,西方已经暴露了。他们不尊重一个国家的主权,也不尊重一个国家的合法民主政府。他们想以任何方式实现他们的政治议程和目标。没有原则就没有规则的秩序,只要达到了目的,就可以走到任何地步。

在这种情况下,许多国家都将中国视为替代选择。中国创建了亚洲基础设施投资银行(AIIB)并成功运营。它是一个基于规则的原则银行。亚洲许多国家都是亚投行的受益者,并以此满足其基础设施建设需求。甚至,反对“一带一路”并与中国处于边境战争状态的印度,也是亚投行的最大受益者之一。它可能无法替代世界银行,但在亚洲,它已经做出了很多贡献,满足了许多国家的需求。

在受到IMF的伤害后,许多国家都在考虑其他选择。 事实上,国际货币基金组织损害了阿根廷、巴西、埃及、希腊、巴基斯坦、斯里兰卡等许多国家,人们普遍认为,国际货币基金组织对这些国家的影响不大,损害更大。 国际货币基金组织一直充当控制某些国家的工具,并被用作胁迫工具。

建议成立亚洲货币基金(AMF),专门为亚洲国家服务。 它应该是一个无党派、择优和以规则为基础的机构。 中国有带头的必要经验和能力,其他亚洲国家也将提供支持。 中国已经成功推出亚投行,也到了推出亚洲货币基金(AMF)的时候了。 AMF 可以使许多国家免遭 IMF 的残酷对待。 AMF的创立是需要时间的,越早越好。 未来,同样可能引入非洲货币基金组织。

翻译整理:那娜

责任编辑:陈龙狮

附件:本报时事评论员巴铁泽米尔简介

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Zamir Awan,泽米尔阿万,笔名:巴铁泽米尔。

现任巴基斯坦国立科技大学中国研究中心副主任。巴基斯坦驻中国大使馆原科技参赞。

泽米尔生于1962年3月1日,80年代在中国留过学。在上海大学获得学士与硕士学位,机械专业。

从2010年,在巴基斯坦驻华大使馆,担任参赞,负责中巴两国之间科技交流与发展科技合作。中巴两国政治关系非常密切,通称“铁哥们儿全天候战略合作伙伴”的关系。科技算战略地位,所以两国也重视科技交流与合作。

泽米尔阿万,利用他在中国学习时学过的知识(包括农业、林业、生物学、健康业、工业、水电、能源、高等教育等等)加强了合作关系。签订了不少合同与协议,推动了不少项目。

他为巴中两国人民之间的友谊做了不少的工作,特别一带一路与巴中经济走廊方面。在他的任期中,在两国关系发展壮大。

从2020年起成为《澳门法治报》时事评论员。

Ukraine War may transform the World Order

Ukraine war has many bitter lessons for the rest of the World. Being one of the biggest Wheat producing countries, it poses a food security challenge to the whole world. Russia-Sanctions pose a fuel and energy crisis. The adverse impact of war is not limited to warring nations but also engulfs the whole region or even the whole world. It is just beginning, and if the war is prolonged, the impact will be more intense and more visible.

Pushing Russia out of SWIFT is alarming for the rest of the world if the West is not happy, they can deprive any country of similar international systems, organizations, or facilities. Although, Russia has not suffered at all, and has been utilizing other options. In fact, Union Pay of China is a good alternative for international payments and transactions. Millions and billions are using Union Pay worldwide. Russia has conveniently switched to it, without suffering any major setback.

The US has frozen Russian assets and has also alarmed many wealthy people around the globe. They are sacred, and their assets can be frozen at any time if the West is not happy with their country or individuals. There is unrest among wealthy people who are thinking seriously to shift their assets and wealth to more safe and more secure places. Especially, the black money or corruption earned money parked in American and European Banks is no longer saved and they can be deprived of using their ill-gotten money. Even, legitimate and white money is in danger of confiscation. 

The expulsion of Russia from the Human Right Council is also precedence that the West’s hegemony can take an impartial, irrational, and biased decision. The expulsion was haphazard and ill-designs by the West. The case should have been deliberated and Russia should have been given the chance to defend its case. Unfortunately, it was not meeting the merit and principles. It shows that the West is dictating International institutions and organizations. It has conveyed a clear message that such institutions are merely a tool of coercion and used to pressurize adversaries only.

As a matter of fact, sanctions, IFIs, FATF, IMF, World Bank, etc., all are tools of the West’s coercion and are frequently used to pressurize them to achieve their political goals. The recent case of Pakistan and Sri Lanka, are very much typical examples. They have no respect for the sovereignty of a nation or the legitimate democratic government of a country. They wanted to achieve their political agenda and goals by any means. There are no principles no rule-based order, as long as they achieve their goals, they can go to any extent.  As a matter of fact, the West has been exposed already.

Under such circumstances, many countries are looking toward China, as an alternate option. China has created Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and operating successfully. It is a rule-based principles Bank. Many countries in Asia are the beneficiary of AIIB and meet their Infrastructure development needs from it. Even, India, which opposes BRI and is in a state of a border war with China, is one of the largest beneficiaries of AIIB. It might not be a substitute for World Bank, but in Asia, it has been contributing a lot and meeting the needs of many countries.

After being victimized by IMF, Many countries are thinking of any other alternative. As matter of fact, IMF has damaged many countries like Argentina, Brazil, Egypt, Greece, Pakistan, Sri Lank, etc., it is a consensus-based opinion that IMF did little good and more damage to such countries. The IMF has been serving as a tool to control certain nations and used as a coercion tool. 

It is suggested to create Asian Monetary Fund (AMF), dedicated to catering to Asian nations. It should be a non-partisan, merit, and rule-based institution. China has the requisite experience and capacity to take lead and the rest of the Asian nations will extend support. China has successfully launched AIIB, and it is time to launch Asian Monetary Fund (AMF) too. AMF may save many nations from the cruelty of IMF. The creation of AMF is a need of time, the sooner the better. In the future, on the same lines, African Monetary Fund may also be introduced. 

Reference Link: – https://www.amfzbao.com/mpost.html?id=627ddbfac1f696eca783a5d7

Reference Link:- https://www2.apdnews.cn/en/item/22/0511/axjamdcm40e042aa6f10ca.html

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